Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.025310 0.030466 0.035873 0.041923 0.048464 0.055286 0.062905
2026-01-11 0.017700 0.024900 0.032998 0.042581 0.053437 0.065204 0.078787
2026-01-18 0.012706 0.020866 0.030662 0.042804 0.057057 0.072936 0.091677
2026-01-25 0.009381 0.018027 0.029066 0.043308 0.060510 0.080079 0.103550
2026-02-01 0.006756 0.015488 0.027379 0.043315 0.063060 0.085925 0.113724
2026-02-08 0.004140 0.012267 0.024323 0.041227 0.062778 0.088218 0.119582
2026-02-15 0.002602 0.010240 0.022564 0.040547 0.064018 0.092147 0.127202
2026-02-22 0.001752 0.009125 0.021940 0.041234 0.066864 0.097922 0.136926
2026-03-01 0.001135 0.008206 0.021468 0.042029 0.069776 0.103724 0.146640
2026-03-08 0.000770 0.007691 0.021551 0.043541 0.073573 0.110580 0.157589
2026-03-15 0.000425 0.006946 0.021146 0.044291 0.076330 0.116125 0.166943
2026-03-22 0.000401 0.007348 0.022730 0.047930 0.082901 0.126399 0.182000
2026-03-29 0.000072 0.005856 0.020860 0.046532 0.082897 0.128663 0.187616
2026-04-05 0.000005 0.005262 0.020551 0.047423 0.085955 0.134778 0.197945
2026-04-12 NaN 0.004543 0.019874 0.047692 0.088134 0.139766 0.206891
2026-04-19 NaN 0.003979 0.019408 0.048231 0.090647 0.145153 0.216308
2026-04-26 NaN 0.003342 0.018650 0.048239 0.092384 0.149521 0.224450
2026-05-03 NaN 0.002299 0.016620 0.046030 0.090920 0.149708 0.227365
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001722 0.015550 0.045310 0.091492 0.152474 0.233434
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001474 0.015345 0.046037 0.094114 0.157888 0.242792
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001271 0.015218 0.046879 0.096889 0.163497 0.252389
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001199 0.015521 0.048478 0.100762 0.170545 0.263789
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001023 0.015384 0.049271 0.103451 0.176033 0.273234